Same Market, Two Prices
Some questions are traded on more than one site at the same time — and the sites don’t always agree on the odds. Here’s where they disagree most.
New here? How to read this
- 🎯 A prediction market lets people bet on whether something will happen. Its price acts like a percentage: “42%” means the market thinks there’s a 42% chance it happens.
- 📊 Each row below is one possible outcome, with that percentage on each site that trades it.
- ↔️ The gap is how far apart the sites are. Example: if one site says 20% and another says 24%, that’s a 4-point gap — one of them may be mispriced.
- ⚠️ A gap is a lead to investigate, not free money. The two markets can settle on slightly different terms (dates, wording, source), and trading has fees. Always open both and check before acting.
US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket: $2.43M tradedPolymarket US: $108.2K traded
| Outcome | Polymarket | Polymarket US | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx Match O/U 36.5 | 75% | 95% | 20 pt gap |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 91% | 69% | 22 pt gap |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 91% | 61% | 30 pt gap |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx Match O/U 38.5 | 57% | 74% | 17 pt gap |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx Match O/U 40.5 | 50% | 74% | 24 pt gap |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | 72% | 22 pt gap |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% | 63% | 13 pt gap |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx | 62% | 62% | 1 pt gap |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx Set 4 Winner | 50% | 61% | 11 pt gap |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx Set 3 Winner | 49% | 61% | 12 pt gap |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 48% | 56% | 9 pt gap |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | 10% | 40 pt gap |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket: $670.0K tradedPolymarket US: $18.1K traded
SMU vs. Florida State
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket: $91.5K tradedPolymarket US: $932.4K traded
| Outcome | Polymarket | Polymarket US | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State O/U 19.5 | 75% | 97% | 22 pt gap |
| SMU O/U 24.5 | 64% | 97% | 34 pt gap |
| SMU O/U 21.5 | 76% | 93% | 18 pt gap |
| Florida State O/U 20.5 | 70% | 92% | 22 pt gap |
| O/U 33.5 | 92% | 90% | 2 pt gap |
| Spread -0.5 | 56% | 90% | 34 pt gap |
| Spread -1.5 | 55% | 90% | 36 pt gap |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 52% | 90% | 38 pt gap |
| SMU O/U 1.5 | 52% | 90% | 38 pt gap |
| Florida State 1H O/U 14.5 | 51% | 90% | 40 pt gap |
| O/U 35.5 | 89% | 88% | 1 pt gap |
| SMU 2H O/U 14.5 | 51% | 89% | 39 pt gap |
Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket: $2.42M tradedPolymarket US: $142.2K traded
F1 Drivers' Champion
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 3 sites
Polymarket: $202.50M tradedPolymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $8.34M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | 85% | 54% | 86% | 32 pt gap |
| Isack Hadjar | 0.1% | 37% | 1.0% | 37 pt gap |
| Oscar Piastri | 0.3% | 32% | 1.0% | 32 pt gap |
| Lewis Hamilton | 1.8% | 28% | 2.0% | 26 pt gap |
| Alexander Albon | 0.1% | 18% | 1.0% | 18 pt gap |
| Esteban Ocon | 0.1% | 11% | 1.0% | 11 pt gap |
| Charles Leclerc | 0.6% | 9.0% | 1.0% | 8 pt gap |
| George Russell | 5.3% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 3 pt gap |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 3 pt gap |
| Lando Norris | 2.1% | — | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Fernando Alonso | 0.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2 pt gap |
| Oliver Bearman | 0.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2 pt gap |
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC - More Markets
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket: $447.3K tradedPolymarket US: $36.3K traded
| Outcome | Polymarket | Polymarket US | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEOM SC (-1.5) | 100% | 99% | 1 pt gap |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% | 75% | 25 pt gap |
| NEOM SC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% | 73% | 27 pt gap |
| NEOM SC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% | 73% | 27 pt gap |
| Al Hilal Saudi Club O/U 1.5 | 0.1% | 37% | 37 pt gap |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0.4% | 36% | 36 pt gap |
| Al Hilal Saudi Club O/U 0.5 | 0.1% | 33% | 33 pt gap |
| NEOM SC O/U 2.5 | 0.1% | 29% | 29 pt gap |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0.4% | 25% | 25 pt gap |
Pro Football: 4000+ Passing Yards Season
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $65.6K traded
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $11.68M traded
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket: $391.1K tradedPolymarket US: $10.6K traded
| Outcome | Polymarket | Polymarket US | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 50% | 76% | 26 pt gap |
| O/U 11.5 | 52% | 68% | 16 pt gap |
| O/U 7.5 | 67% | 53% | 14 pt gap |
| O/U 10.5 | 31% | 61% | 30 pt gap |
| O/U 8.5 | 56% | 60% | 4 pt gap |
| Spread -3.5 | 45% | 58% | 13 pt gap |
| O/U 9.5 | 57% | 55% | 2 pt gap |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 50% | 29% | 21 pt gap |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 50% | 29% | 21 pt gap |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 50% | 50% | 0 pt gap |
NASCAR Cup Series Champion
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $4.53M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Bell | 50% | 21% | 29 pt gap |
| Denny Hamlin | 40% | 38% | 2 pt gap |
| Brad Keselowski | 26% | 1.0% | 25 pt gap |
| Zane Smith | 26% | 1.0% | 25 pt gap |
| Austin Cindric | 20% | 1.0% | 19 pt gap |
| John Hunter Nemechek | 20% | 1.0% | 19 pt gap |
| Ty Dillon | 19% | 1.0% | 18 pt gap |
| Cody Ware | 19% | 1.0% | 18 pt gap |
| Erik Jones | 18% | 1.0% | 17 pt gap |
| Ryan Blaney | 12% | 16% | 4 pt gap |
| William Byron | 15% | 1.0% | 14 pt gap |
| Tyler Reddick | 7.0% | 8.0% | 1 pt gap |
Liga MX Apertura Champion
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $638.5K traded
Pro Basketball Eastern Conference #1 Seed
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $252.2K traded
Fed Decision in September?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket: $102.52M tradedPolymarket US: $136 traded
US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 3 sites
Polymarket: $26.44M tradedPolymarket US: $372.6K tradedKalshi: $381.8K traded
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 3 sites
Polymarket: $2.53M tradedPolymarket US: $5.5K tradedKalshi: $1.05M traded
Pro Football Worst Regular Season Record?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $1.0K tradedKalshi: $737.6K traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 2.0% | 24% | 22 pt gap |
| Miami | 1.0% | 22% | 21 pt gap |
| New England | 21% | 1.0% | 20 pt gap |
| Detroit | 19% | 1.0% | 18 pt gap |
| Los Angeles C | 19% | 1.0% | 18 pt gap |
| Baltimore | 13% | 1.0% | 12 pt gap |
| Seattle | 12% | 1.0% | 11 pt gap |
| New York J | 1.0% | 11% | 10 pt gap |
| Cleveland | 1.0% | 10% | 9 pt gap |
| Las Vegas | 1.0% | 7.0% | 6 pt gap |
| Tennessee | 1.0% | 7.0% | 6 pt gap |
| Buffalo | 7.0% | 1.0% | 6 pt gap |
Chicago Pro Football Team: Relocation
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $2.4K tradedKalshi: $880.6K traded
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket: $4.90M tradedPolymarket US: $3.1K traded
FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $3.1K tradedKalshi: $2.04M traded
Oscar Winner: Best Picture
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $1.1K tradedKalshi: $4.87M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Odyssey | 69% | 52% | 17 pt gap |
| Dune: Part Three | 18% | 13% | 5 pt gap |
| The Black Ball | 12% | 12% | 0 pt gap |
| Wild Horse Nine | 5.0% | 7.0% | 2 pt gap |
| The Debut | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3 pt gap |
| The Social Reckoning | 6.0% | 1.0% | 5 pt gap |
| Michael | 6.0% | 1.0% | 5 pt gap |
| Digger | 2.0% | 5.0% | 3 pt gap |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 5.0% | 2.0% | 3 pt gap |
| I Love Boosters | 4.0% | 1.0% | 3 pt gap |
| Josephine | 3.0% | 1.0% | 2 pt gap |
| 1949 / Fatherland | 3.0% | 1.0% | 2 pt gap |
2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket: $9.71M tradedPolymarket US: $0 traded
| Outcome | Polymarket | Polymarket US | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 30% | 25% | 4 pt gap |
| Coco Gauff | 18% | 2.0% | 16 pt gap |
| Naomi Osaka | 4.5% | 16% | 12 pt gap |
| Mirra Andreeva | 9.9% | 15% | 5 pt gap |
| Emma Navarro | 3.1% | 14% | 11 pt gap |
| Jessica Pegula | 11% | 1.0% | 10 pt gap |
| Qinwen Zheng | 3.5% | 10% | 6 pt gap |
| Elena Rybakina | 9.3% | 9.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Iva Jovic | 2.4% | 8.0% | 6 pt gap |
| Iga Swiatek | 0.1% | 3.0% | 3 pt gap |
Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $4.64M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yash Patel | 26% | 25% | 1 pt gap |
| Barrett Pfeiffer | 19% | 20% | 1 pt gap |
| Drew Campbell | 1.0% | 15% | 14 pt gap |
| Rick Devens | 11% | 10% | 1 pt gap |
| Angela Murray | 11% | 9.0% | 2 pt gap |
| Dee Valladares | 10% | 10% | 0 pt gap |
| Taylor Brown | 9.0% | 8.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Melody Morris | 6.0% | 7.0% | 1 pt gap |
| LaTrice Verrett | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Ashley Trail | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Chuk Anyanwu | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Kamu Kirk | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket: $22.17M tradedPolymarket US: $0 traded
Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $273.7K traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Aspinall | 70% | 57% | 13 pt gap |
| Ciryl Gane | 28% | 25% | 3 pt gap |
| Jon Jones | 10% | 1.0% | 9 pt gap |
| Curtis Blaydes | 5.0% | 1.0% | 4 pt gap |
| Waldo Cortes Acosta | 5.0% | 1.0% | 4 pt gap |
| Josh Hokit | 1.0% | 4.0% | 3 pt gap |
| Alex Pereira | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Alexander Volkov | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Jailton Almeida | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Marcin Tybura | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Sergei Pavlovich | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket: $84.9K tradedPolymarket US: $241 traded
Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket: $752.4K tradedPolymarket US: $14.0K traded
Next French Presidential Election
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 3 sites
Polymarket: $128.34M tradedPolymarket US: $2.6K tradedKalshi: $314.5K traded
| Outcome | Polymarket | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | 35% | 39% | 38% | 4 pt gap |
| Édouard Philippe | 28% | 23% | 26% | 5 pt gap |
| David Lisnard | 3.9% | 15% | 6.8% | 11 pt gap |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 13% | 8.0% | 11% | 5 pt gap |
| François Hollande | 3.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4 pt gap |
| Jordan Bardella | 2.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 5 pt gap |
| Gérald Darmanin | 0.1% | — | 6.0% | 6 pt gap |
| Bernard Cazeneuve | 0.1% | — | 6.0% | 6 pt gap |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 2.1% | 5.0% | — | 3 pt gap |
| Bruno Retailleau | 1.4% | 5.0% | 0.2% | 5 pt gap |
| François Bayrou | 0.1% | — | 5.0% | 5 pt gap |
| Gabriel Attal | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1 pt gap |
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $651 tradedKalshi: $768.4K traded
Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $166 tradedKalshi: $353.3K traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Ulberg | 83% | 94% | 11 pt gap |
| Magomed Ankalaev | 16% | 6.0% | 10 pt gap |
| Khalil Rountree Jr. | 4.0% | 1.0% | 3 pt gap |
| Jamahal Hill | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Aleksandar Rakić | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Khamzat Chimaev | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Alex Pereira | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Jan Błachowicz | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Azamat Murzakanov | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $5.4K tradedKalshi: $23.4K traded
NL Cy Young Winner?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $192 tradedKalshi: $3.13M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski | 73% | 82% | 9 pt gap |
| Chris Sale | 13% | 9.0% | 4 pt gap |
| Cristopher Sanchez | 3.2% | 4.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Tyler Glasnow | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Paul Skenes | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Blake Snell | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Freddy Peralta | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Zack Wheeler | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Logan Webb | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Spencer Strider | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Brandon Woodruff | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 3 sites
Polymarket: $700.40M tradedPolymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $63.26M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 50% | 49% | 45% | 5 pt gap |
| Marco Rubio | 20% | 22% | 21% | 2 pt gap |
| Ron DeSantis | 2.5% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 7 pt gap |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 1.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4 pt gap |
| Tucker Carlson | 3.5% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2 pt gap |
| Donald Trump | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1 pt gap |
| Rand Paul | 0.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 3 pt gap |
| Ted Cruz | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2 pt gap |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 0.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 2 pt gap |
| Elon Musk | 0.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 2 pt gap |
| Pete Hegseth | 0.5% | — | 1.7% | 1 pt gap |
| Glenn Youngkin | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0 pt gap |
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket: $23.08M tradedPolymarket US: $0 traded
AL East Division Winner
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $1.27M traded
Bundesliga Champion
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $57.2K traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 89% | 89% | 0 pt gap |
| Dortmund | 8.0% | 9.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Freiburg | 1.0% | 7.0% | 6 pt gap |
| Leipzig | 2.0% | 5.0% | 3 pt gap |
| Leverkusen | 1.0% | 5.0% | 4 pt gap |
| FC Cologne | 4.0% | 1.0% | 3 pt gap |
| Hoffenheim | 4.0% | 1.0% | 3 pt gap |
| Mainz | 4.0% | 0.0% | 4 pt gap |
| Stuttgart | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Paderborn | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Frankfurt | 2.0% | 0.0% | 2 pt gap |
| Union Berlin | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
Men's 2027 College Basketball Champion
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $2.5K tradedKalshi: $7.98M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | 16% | 14% | 2 pt gap |
| Duke | 13% | 12% | 1 pt gap |
| Illinois | 11% | 6.8% | 4 pt gap |
| Michigan St. | 9.0% | 4.0% | 5 pt gap |
| Louisville | 8.0% | 3.0% | 5 pt gap |
| North Carolina | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3 pt gap |
| Gonzaga | 6.0% | 2.7% | 3 pt gap |
| Tennessee | 6.0% | 2.7% | 3 pt gap |
| Kansas | 6.0% | 2.6% | 3 pt gap |
| UCLA | 6.0% | 1.6% | 4 pt gap |
| Richmond | 6.0% | 0.1% | 6 pt gap |
| Oregon | 6.0% | 0.1% | 6 pt gap |
Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $131 tradedKalshi: $606.9K traded
Welterweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $230 tradedKalshi: $339.6K traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Islam Makhachev | 86% | 85% | 1 pt gap |
| Carlos Prates | 10% | 12% | 2 pt gap |
| Shavkat Rakhmonov | 5.0% | 10% | 5 pt gap |
| Ian Machado Garry | 6.0% | 1.0% | 5 pt gap |
| Sean Brady | 5.0% | 2.0% | 3 pt gap |
| Jack Della Maddalena | 5.0% | 1.0% | 4 pt gap |
| Kamaru Usman | 2.0% | 4.0% | 2 pt gap |
| Leon Edwards | 4.0% | 1.0% | 3 pt gap |
| Belal Muhammad | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Michael Morales | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Ilia Topuria | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $398 tradedKalshi: $761.3K traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Gaethje | 92% | 91% | 1 pt gap |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 7.0% | 8.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Alexander Volkanovski | 6.0% | 1.0% | 5 pt gap |
| Mateusz Gamrot | 5.0% | 1.0% | 4 pt gap |
| Benoit Saint-Denis | 5.0% | 1.0% | 4 pt gap |
| Ilia Topuria | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Charles Oliveira | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Dan Hooker | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Paddy Pimblett | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Islam Makhachev | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Max Holloway | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
Top Song on Spotify in 2026?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $763 tradedKalshi: $257.4K traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| End of Beginning | 63% | 67% | 4 pt gap |
| Babydoll | 31% | 32% | 1 pt gap |
| SWIM | 6.0% | 1.0% | 5 pt gap |
| Beauty and a Beat | 3.0% | 1.0% | 2 pt gap |
| Die With A Smile | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Man I Need | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| drop dead | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| APT. | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| stupid song | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Billie Jean | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| hate that i made you love me | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 3 sites
Polymarket: $1.27B tradedPolymarket US: $7.7K tradedKalshi: $212.68M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff | 16% | 19% | 17% | 3 pt gap |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 18% | 18% | 17% | 1 pt gap |
| Gavin Newsom | 14% | 15% | 15% | 1 pt gap |
| Kamala Harris | 7.8% | 10% | 8.1% | 2 pt gap |
| Mark Kelly | 3.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4 pt gap |
| Rahm Emanuel | 2.6% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 4 pt gap |
| Pete Buttigieg | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 1 pt gap |
| Josh Shapiro | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 1 pt gap |
| Wes Moore | 1.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 3 pt gap |
| Andy Beshear | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1 pt gap |
| James Talarico | 2.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2 pt gap |
| Ro Khanna | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0 pt gap |
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 3 sites
Polymarket: $32.92M tradedPolymarket US: $25.5K tradedKalshi: $7.77M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 64% | 68% | 67% | 4 pt gap |
| Lamine Yamal | 15% | 18% | 15% | 3 pt gap |
| Kylian Mbappé | 7.6% | 12% | 11% | 4 pt gap |
| Rodri | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2 pt gap |
| Lionel Messi | 2.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3 pt gap |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Erling Haaland | 0.3% | — | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Michael Olise | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Jude Bellingham | 0.1% | — | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Vitinha | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Mohamed Salah | 0.1% | — | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
NFC North Division Winner
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $546.5K traded
AFC Championship Winner
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $5.14M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 15% | 16% | 1 pt gap |
| Baltimore | 14% | 13% | 1 pt gap |
| Cincinnati | 13% | 9.0% | 4 pt gap |
| Kansas City | 11% | 12% | 1 pt gap |
| Houston | 12% | 11% | 1 pt gap |
| Denver | 12% | 10% | 2 pt gap |
| Los Angeles C | 10% | 11% | 1 pt gap |
| New England | 10% | 10% | 0 pt gap |
| Jacksonville | 6.0% | 7.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Indianapolis | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Pittsburgh | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Las Vegas | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0 pt gap |
Pro Basketball Eastern Conference Champion
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $1.74M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | 25% | 21% | 4 pt gap |
| New York | 21% | 20% | 1 pt gap |
| Boston | 15% | 13% | 2 pt gap |
| Toronto | 7.0% | 10% | 3 pt gap |
| Miami | 10% | 9.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Detroit | 9.0% | 8.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Cleveland | 8.0% | 7.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Indiana | 6.0% | 7.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Atlanta | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Orlando | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Washington | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Brooklyn | 4.0% | 1.0% | 3 pt gap |
Pro Basketball MVP Winner
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $1.32M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | 31% | 32% | 1 pt gap |
| Luka Doncic | 17% | 18% | 1 pt gap |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 14% | 17% | 3 pt gap |
| Nikola Jokić | 14% | 14% | 0 pt gap |
| Jayson Tatum | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 6.0% | 7.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Anthony Edwards | 2.0% | 6.0% | 4 pt gap |
| Jalen Brunson | 1.0% | 5.0% | 4 pt gap |
| Cade Cunningham | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Jaylen Brown | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Evan Mobley | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| LaMelo Ball | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Chance this happens — compared across sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $861.5K traded
AFC West Division Winner
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $409.2K traded
Nebraska Senate winner?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $728.5K traded
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket: $36.19M tradedPolymarket US: $0 traded
| Outcome | Polymarket | Polymarket US | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eizenkot | 52% | 49% | 3 pt gap |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 28% | 31% | 3 pt gap |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 5.4% | 8.0% | 3 pt gap |
| Naftali Bennett | 7.5% | 4.0% | 3 pt gap |
| Benny Gantz | 0.1% | 4.0% | 4 pt gap |
| Itamar Ben Gvir | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Yair Lapid | 0.1% | 2.0% | 2 pt gap |
| Gideon Sa’ar | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Yoaz Hendel | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Ayelet Shaked | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket: $703.14M tradedKalshi: $64.83M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| JD Vance | 25% | 21% | 4 pt gap |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 13% | 9.9% | 3 pt gap |
| Jon Ossoff | 12% | 12% | 0 pt gap |
| Marco Rubio | 8.8% | 11% | 2 pt gap |
| Gavin Newsom | 7.2% | 8.5% | 1 pt gap |
| Kamala Harris | 3.6% | 4.3% | 1 pt gap |
| Pete Buttigieg | 2.4% | 3.8% | 1 pt gap |
| Mark Kelly | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2 pt gap |
| Josh Shapiro | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0 pt gap |
| Ron DeSantis | 1.9% | 3.1% | 1 pt gap |
| Andy Beshear | 1.1% | 3.1% | 2 pt gap |
| Donald Trump | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1 pt gap |
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 3 sites
Polymarket: $25.27M tradedPolymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $1.96M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 19% | 20% | 21% | 2 pt gap |
| Arsenal | 16% | 16% | 15% | 1 pt gap |
| Real Madrid | 14% | 14% | 16% | 2 pt gap |
| Bayern Munich | 14% | 12% | 14% | 2 pt gap |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 14% | 13% | — | 1 pt gap |
| Manchester City | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Liverpool | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 2 pt gap |
| Manchester United | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Aston Villa | 0.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 3 pt gap |
| Inter Milan | 2.9% | — | 3.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Villarreal | 0.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 3 pt gap |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 3 pt gap |
AFC East Division Winner
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $257.6K traded
Top artist on Spotify in 2026?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $1.05M traded
National League Champion
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $117.9K tradedKalshi: $4.27M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles D | 40% | 40% | 1 pt gap |
| Milwaukee | 23% | 22% | 1 pt gap |
| Atlanta | 17% | 14% | 3 pt gap |
| Philadelphia | 14% | 13% | 1 pt gap |
| Chicago C | 8.2% | 9.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Arizona | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1 pt gap |
| San Diego | 3.9% | 4.0% | 0 pt gap |
| St. Louis | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Colorado | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Washington | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Pittsburgh | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Miami | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $1.6K tradedKalshi: $4.00M traded
F1 Constructors Champion
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $204 tradedKalshi: $2.05M traded
Pro Football Playoff Qualifiers
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $1.3K tradedKalshi: $1.15M traded
NFC East Division Winner
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $967.7K traded
AFC North Division Winner
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $611.0K traded
NFC West Division Winner
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $379.4K traded
AFC South Division Winner
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $267.2K traded
EPL: 2027 Champion
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 3 sites
Polymarket: $15.12M tradedPolymarket US: $744 tradedKalshi: $2.97M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 53% | 55% | 54% | 3 pt gap |
| Manchester City | 27% | 26% | 26% | 1 pt gap |
| Chelsea | 11% | 13% | 13% | 3 pt gap |
| Liverpool | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Manchester United | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2 pt gap |
| Crystal Palace | 0.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 3 pt gap |
| Brighton | 0.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2 pt gap |
| Hull City | 0.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2 pt gap |
| Everton | 0.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2 pt gap |
| Coventry City | 0.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2 pt gap |
| Aston Villa | 0.4% | — | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Tottenham | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
NBA: 2027 Champion
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 3 sites
Polymarket: $20.75M tradedPolymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $27.15M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio | 21% | 23% | 23% | 3 pt gap |
| Oklahoma City | 22% | 21% | 22% | 1 pt gap |
| New York | 12% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 3 pt gap |
| Philadelphia | 11% | 11% | 11% | 0 pt gap |
| Boston | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Minnesota | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Denver | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Miami | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Los Angeles L | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2 pt gap |
| Toronto | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Detroit | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Cleveland | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1 pt gap |
Brazil Presidential Election
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 3 sites
Polymarket: $144.73M tradedPolymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $3.93M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 59% | 56% | 56% | 2 pt gap |
| Flávio Bolsonaro | 40% | 42% | 41% | 2 pt gap |
| Jair Bolsonaro | 0.1% | — | 2.5% | 2 pt gap |
| Renan Santos | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1 pt gap |
| Augusto Cury | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Romeu Zema | 0.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 2 pt gap |
| Fernando Haddad | 0.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 2 pt gap |
| Camilo Santana | 0.1% | 2.0% | — | 2 pt gap |
| Ronaldo Caiado | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1 pt gap |
| Tarcisio de Freitas | 0.1% | — | 0.1% | 0 pt gap |
| Michelle Bolsonaro | 0.1% | — | 0.1% | 0 pt gap |
| Eduardo Bolsonaro | 0.1% | — | 0.1% | 0 pt gap |
When will Apple announce foldable iPhone?
Chance this happens — compared across sites
Kalshi: $183.5K tradedManifold: $1.1K traded
NFC Championship Winner
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $5.01M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles R | 27% | 25% | 2 pt gap |
| Seattle | 12% | 13% | 1 pt gap |
| Philadelphia | 10% | 10% | 0 pt gap |
| Dallas | 9.0% | 9.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Detroit | 9.0% | 9.0% | 0 pt gap |
| San Francisco | 9.0% | 9.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Chicago | 7.0% | 8.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Green Bay | 6.0% | 8.0% | 2 pt gap |
| Minnesota | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Tampa Bay | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1 pt gap |
| New York G | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Washington | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1 pt gap |
AL Central Division Winner
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $1.90M traded
NL East Division Winner
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $1.04M traded
NFC South Division Winner
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $461.1K traded
Montana Senate winner?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $498.1K traded
Pro Football: 2027 Champion
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 3 sites
Polymarket: $50.28M tradedPolymarket US: $27.5K tradedKalshi: $83.26M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles R | 17% | 17% | 17% | 1 pt gap |
| Buffalo | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 2 pt gap |
| Seattle | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Baltimore | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Kansas City | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Denver | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 2 pt gap |
| Cincinnati | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Dallas | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Houston | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 1 pt gap |
| New England | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Philadelphia | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 1 pt gap |
| San Francisco | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 1 pt gap |
College Football National Championship Winner
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $84.6K tradedKalshi: $26.17M traded
Pro Basketball Western Conference Champion
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $482.9K traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio | 33% | 35% | 2 pt gap |
| Oklahoma City | 34% | 34% | 0 pt gap |
| Minnesota | 8.0% | 7.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Denver | 6.0% | 7.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Los Angeles L | 5.0% | 6.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Houston | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Portland | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Golden State | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Utah | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Los Angeles C | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Sacramento | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Dallas | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
NL Rookie of the Year Winner?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $3.19M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sal Stewart | 84% | 84% | 0 pt gap |
| Nolan McLean | 10% | 11% | 1 pt gap |
| JJ Wetherholt | 3.6% | 4.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Carson Benge | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Alex Freeland | 0.2% | 2.0% | 2 pt gap |
| Moises Ballesteros | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Bubba Chandler | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Justin Crawford | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Bryce Eldridge | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Konnor Griffin | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Owen Caissie | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Jonah Tong | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
Michigan Governor winner?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $324.1K traded
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $0 tradedKalshi: $1.46M traded
American League Champion
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $60.1K tradedKalshi: $5.94M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | 26% | 27% | 1 pt gap |
| New York Y | 25% | 24% | 1 pt gap |
| Boston | 15% | 16% | 1 pt gap |
| Chicago WS | 13% | 13% | 0 pt gap |
| Houston | 9.7% | 9.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Cleveland | 6.1% | 7.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Toronto | 4.9% | 5.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Texas | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Seattle | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Detroit | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Minnesota | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Baltimore | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
La Liga Champion
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $2.4K tradedKalshi: $454.2K traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 66% | 65% | 1 pt gap |
| Real Madrid | 32% | 31% | 1 pt gap |
| Atletico Madrid | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Villarreal | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Betis | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Real Sociedad | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Celta Vigo | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Valencia | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Sevilla | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Espanyol | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Deportivo De La Coruna | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Levante | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $4.0K tradedKalshi: $1.34M traded
Who will be arrested in 2026?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $77 tradedKalshi: $1.25M traded
Steph Curry's Next Team
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $2.1K tradedKalshi: $6.24M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Brooklyn | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Philadelphia | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Chicago | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Cleveland | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Indiana | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Milwaukee | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Atlanta | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Orlando | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Denver | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Minnesota | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Oklahoma City | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $1.7K tradedKalshi: $2.45M traded
NL MVP Winner?
Chance each outcome wins — compared across 2 sites
Polymarket US: $817 tradedKalshi: $3.86M traded
| Outcome | Polymarket US | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 94% | 94% | 0 pt gap |
| Shohei Ohtani | 3.3% | 4.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Jackson Chourio | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Juan Soto | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0 pt gap |
| Bryce Harper | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |
| Rafael Devers | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1 pt gap |