PredictionOdds
PolymarketPolitics

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

Current odds

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate59%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate33%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate5.0%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate4.2%

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate probability

54%59%65%Oct 12Oct 13Oct 13
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