PredictionOdds
PolymarketEconomics

US economic state at the end of 2026?

Current odds

+4.0 pts · 24h (leader)
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)58%
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)24%
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)14%
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)1.5%

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) probability

37%52%68%Jul 18Jul 21Jul 25
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