PolymarketEconomics

US economic state at the end of 2026?

Current odds

+2.5 pts · 24h (leader)

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)79%

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)17%

Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)1.5%

Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)1.0%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) probability

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