ManifoldPolitics
Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]
Current odds
Yes2.5%
No97%
Yes probability
Related markets
Fed Decision in July?PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through...?PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PolymarketWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Polymarket