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Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?
Manifold
World
Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?
Current odds
Yes
83%
No
17%
Yes probability
24H
1W
1M
All
50%
70%
91%
Oct 23
Oct 25
Oct 26
Trade on Manifold
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