PredictionOdds
ManifoldPolitics

Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?

Current odds

Yes21%
No79%

Yes probability

15%22%28%Jul 18Jul 21Jul 24
Trade on Manifold

Related markets

Fed Decision in July?PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through...?PolymarketPresidential Election Winner 2028PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Polymarket