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Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held?
Manifold
Politics
Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held?
Current odds
Yes
68%
No
32%
Yes probability
24H
1W
1M
All
42%
57%
72%
Jul 24
Jul 26
Jul 27
Trade on Manifold
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