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Will a frontier model exfiltrate its own weights by EoY 2028?
Manifold
Tech & Science
Will a frontier model exfiltrate its own weights by EoY 2028?
Current odds
Yes
22%
No
78%
Yes probability
24H
1W
1M
All
18%
34%
50%
Jul 30
Jul 30
Jul 30
Trade on Manifold
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