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If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold
Politics
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Current odds
Yes
5.3%
No
95%
Yes probability
24H
1W
1M
All
1%
6%
12%
Sep 5
Sep 8
Sep 10
Trade on Manifold
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