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If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold
Politics
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Current odds
Yes
14%
No
86%
Yes probability
24H
1W
1M
All
10%
14%
19%
Jul 21
Jul 23
Jul 25
Trade on Manifold
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