ManifoldPolitics
Aella's Magic Button poll: which side gets more votes? [SHORT FUSE]
Current odds
Yes98%
No2.0%
Yes probability
Related markets
Fed Decision in July?PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through...?PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?PolymarketElon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?Polymarket