Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

On Sep 1, 2026

Current odds

+9.0 pts · 24h (leader)

Ed Markey, ≥20%79%

Ed Markey, 16-20%11%

Ed Markey, 12-16%5.0%

Seth Moulton, ≥20%5.0%

Ed Markey, 8-12%3.0%

Ed Markey, 4-8%2.0%

Seth Moulton, 0-4%2.0%

Ed Markey, 0-4%1.0%

Seth Moulton, 4-8%1.0%

Seth Moulton, 8-12%1.0%

Seth Moulton, 12-16%1.0%

Seth Moulton, 16-20%1.0%

Ed Markey, ≥20% probability

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