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Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
Kalshi
Politics
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Current odds
— · 24h (leader)
Before Dec 1, 2026
11%
No
89%
Before Dec 1, 2026 probability
24H
1W
1M
All
35%
45%
56%
Oct 17
Oct 21
Oct 24
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