KalshiPolitics
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
At the release of the national House popular vote data
Current odds
+2.0 pts · 24h (leader)Democrats, 8 to 10%26%
Democrats, 10 to 12%23%
Democrats, 6 to 8%16%
Democrats, 12 to 14%12%
Democrats, 4 to 6%6.7%
Republicans win5.1%
Democrats, 14 to 16%4.5%
Democrats, 16% and above4.2%
Democrats, 2 to 4%2.6%
Democrats, 0 to 2%2.0%