KalshiPolitics
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
At the release of the national House popular vote data
Current odds
— · 24h (leader)Democrats, 8 to 10%24%
Democrats, 6 to 8%22%
Democrats, 10 to 12%19%
Democrats, 4 to 6%15%
Republicans win13%
Democrats, 2 to 4%6.9%
Democrats, 12 to 14%6.9%
Democrats, 0 to 2%3.0%
Democrats, 14 to 16%2.2%
Democrats, 16% and above1.4%