PredictionOdds
KalshiPolitics

French socialist bloc presidential primary winner?

in 2026

Current odds

+8.0 pts · 24h (leader)
Raphaël Glucksmann93%
Olivier Faure16%
Bernard Cazeneuve12%
Boris Vallaud3.0%
François Hollande2.0%
Philippe Brun1.0%
Jérôme Guedj0.0%

Raphaël Glucksmann probability

72%84%95%Oct 2Oct 5Oct 9
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