PredictionOdds
KalshiPolitics

Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?

Before Nov 7, 2028

Current odds

— · 24h (leader)
Gavin Newsom24%
Andy Beshear15%
Jon Ossoff11%
Pete Buttigieg9.3%
Kamala Harris7.0%
Josh Shapiro6.9%
J.B. Pritzker6.9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez4.9%
Wes Moore2.5%
Gretchen Whitmer2.5%

Gavin Newsom probability

18%22%27%Aug 18Aug 21Aug 24
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