Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory

On Oct 25, 2026

Current odds

-10.0 pts · 24h (leader)

Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%42%

Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%35%

Lula da Silva, 0-3%13%

Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%7.0%

Flávio Bolsonaro, 6-9%6.0%

Lula da Silva, 3-6%1.0%

Lula da Silva, 6-9%1.0%

Lula da Silva, ≥9%1.0%

Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3% probability

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