KalshiPolitics
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
On Oct 4, 2026
Current odds
-12.0 pts · 24h (leader)Lula da Silva, 0-5%34%
Lula da Silva, 5-10%25%
Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-5%23%
Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10%7.0%
Lula da Silva, 10-15%6.0%
Lula da Silva, ≥15%3.0%
Flávio Bolsonaro, 10-15%0.0%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥15%0.0%
Renan Santos wins0.0%
Romeu Zema wins0.0%
Fernando Haddad wins0.0%